1887
  1. Home
  2. Eurosurveillance
  3. Volume 29, Issue 45, 07/Nov/2024
  4. Article
Rapid communication Open Access
Like 0
Download

Abstract

We developed a new activity level setting threshold method, the mean standard deviation (MSD) method to quantify COVID-19 activity levels. This has been validated against the moving epidemic method (MEM), which has been used for influenza for many years, and we observed very similar results. The MSD method can prove to be a tool to use for respiratory viruses with limited historical data or seasonality to quantify activity levels when other respiratory viruses are also circulating.

© Creative Commons License
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Loading

Article metrics loading...

/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.45.2400696
2024-11-07
2024-12-26
/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.45.2400696
Loading
Loading full text...

Full text loading...

/deliver/fulltext/eurosurveillance/29/45/eurosurv-29-45-3.html?itemId=/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.45.2400696&mimeType=html&fmt=ahah

References

  1. World Health Organization (WHO). Tracking SARS-CoV-2 variants. Geneva: WHO; 25 Sep 2024. Available from: https://www.who.int/activities/tracking-SARS-CoV-2-variants
  2. World Health Organization (WHO). Coronavirus disease (COVID-19) Epidemiological Updates and Monthly Operational Updates. Geneva: WHO; 9 Oct 2024. Available from: https://www.who.int/emergencies/diseases/novel-coronavirus-2019/situation-reports
  3. World Health Organization (WHO). Statement on the fifteenth meeting of the IHR (2005) Emergency Committee on the COVID-19 pandemic. Geneva: WHO; 5 May 2023. Available from: https://www.who.int/news/item/05-05-2023-statement-on-the-fifteenth-meeting-of-the-international-health-regulations-(2005)-emergency-committee-regarding-the-coronavirus-disease-(covid-19)-pandemic
  4. World Health Organization (WHO). Pandemic influenza severity assessment (PISA): A WHO guide to assess the severity of influenza in seasonal epidemics and pandemics, second edition. Geneva: WHO; 21 May 2024. Available from: https://www.who.int/publications/i/item/9789240093881
  5. United Kingdom Health Security Agency (UKHSA). COVID-19: testing from 1 April 2023. London: UKHSA; 2 May 2023. Available from: https://www.gov.uk/guidance/covid-19-testing-during-periods-of-low-prevalence#:~:text=From%20April%20onwards%2C%20testing%20will,and%20provide%20a%20rapid%20result
  6. United Kingdom Health Security Agency (UKHSA). National flu and COVID-19 surveillance reports: 2023 to 2024 season. London: UKHSA; 5 Jul 2024. Available from: https://www.gov.uk/government/statistics/national-flu-and-covid-19-surveillance-reports-2023-to-2024-season
  7. Vega T, Lozano JE, Meerhoff T, Snacken R, Mott J, Ortiz de Lejarazu R, et al. Influenza surveillance in Europe: establishing epidemic thresholds by the moving epidemic method. Influenza Other Respir Viruses. 2013;7(4):546-58.  https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1750-2659.2012.00422.x  PMID: 22897919 
  8. United Kingdom Health Security Agency (UKHSA). Influenza, COVID-19 and other respiratory viruses: sources of surveillance data. London: UKHSA; 4 Nov 2024. Available from: https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/sources-of-surveillance-data-for-influenza-covid-19-and-other-respiratory-viruses/sources-of-surveillance-data-for-influenza-covid-19-and-other-respiratory-viruses
  9. World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe (WHO/Europe). Operational considerations for respiratory virus surveillance in Europe, 18 July. Copenhagen: WHO/Europe; 18 Jul 2022. Available from: https://www.who.int/europe/publications/i/item/WHO-EURO-2022-5841-45606-65427
Setting thresholds to determine COVID-19 activity levels using the mean standard deviation (MSD) method, England, 2022–2024
<p class="citation"> <span>Citation style for this article:</span> <span class="meta-value authors"> <a href="/search?value1=Mary+A+Sinnathamby&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Sinnathamby Mary A</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Tania+Bourouphael&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Bourouphael Tania</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Jacob+Boateng&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Boateng Jacob</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Magali+Collonnaz&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Collonnaz Magali</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Catherine+Quinot&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Quinot Catherine</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Nurin+Abdul+Aziz&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Aziz Nurin Abdul</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Suzanne+Elgohari&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Elgohari Suzanne</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Rebecca+E+Green&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Green Rebecca E</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Gavin+Dabrera&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Dabrera Gavin</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Jamie+Lopez-Bernal&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Lopez-Bernal Jamie</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Alex+Allen&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Allen Alex</a></span>. Setting thresholds to determine COVID-19 activity levels using the mean standard deviation (MSD) method, England, 2022–2024. <a href="/content/ecdc">Euro Surveill.</a> 2024;29(45):pii=2400696. <a href="https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.45.2400696" title="doi link" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.45.2400696</a> <span class="ES_Article_citation"> <span class="generated">Received</span>: 21 Oct 2024;&nbsp;&nbsp; <span class="generated">Accepted</span>: 06 Nov 2024 </span> </p>
/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.45.2400696
/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.45.2400696
Loading

Data & Media loading...

Submit comment
Close
Comment moderation successfully completed
This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address
Approval was a Success
Invalid data
An Error Occurred
Approval was partially successful, following selected items could not be processed due to error