1887
Research Open Access
Like 0

Abstract

Background

COVID-19 remains a major infectious disease with substantial implications for individual and public health including the risk of a post-infection syndrome, long COVID. The continuous changes in dominant variants of SARS-CoV-2 necessitate a careful study of the effect of preventative strategies.

Aim

We aimed to estimate the effectiveness of post-vaccination, post-infection and hybrid immunity against severe cases requiring oxygen support caused by infections with SARS-CoV-2 variants BA1/2 and BA4/5+, and against long COVID in the infected population and their changes over time.

Methods

We used a Cox regression analysis with time-varying covariates and calendar time and logistic regression applied to national-level data from Czechia from December 2021 until August 2023.

Results

Recently boosted vaccination, post-infection and hybrid immunity provide significant protection against a severe course of COVID-19, while unboosted vaccination more than 10 months ago has a negligible protective effect. The post-vaccination immunity against the BA1/2 or BA4/5+ variants, especially based on the original vaccine types, appears to wane rapidly compared with post-infection and hybrid immunity. Once infected, however, previous immunity plays only a small protective role against long COVID.

Conclusion

Vaccination remains an effective preventative measure against a severe course of COVID-19 but its effectiveness wanes over time thus highlighting the importance of booster doses. Once infected, vaccines may have a small protective effect against the development of long COVID.

Loading

Article metrics loading...

/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.35.2300690
2024-08-29
2024-09-01
http://instance.metastore.ingenta.com/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.35.2300690
Loading
Loading full text...

Full text loading...

/deliver/fulltext/eurosurveillance/29/35/eurosurv-29-35-3.html?itemId=/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.35.2300690&mimeType=html&fmt=ahah

References

  1. Baden LR, El Sahly HM, Essink B, Kotloff K, Frey S, Novak R, et al. Efficacy and safety of the mRNA-1273 SARS-CoV-2 vaccine. N Engl J Med. 2021;384(5):403-16.  https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2035389  PMID: 33378609 
  2. Tanriover MD, Doğanay HL, Akova M, Güner HR, Azap A, Akhan S, et al. Efficacy and safety of an inactivated whole-virion SARS-CoV-2 vaccine (CoronaVac): interim results of a double-blind, randomised, placebo-controlled, phase 3 trial in Turkey. Lancet. 2021;398(10296):213-22.  https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01429-X  PMID: 34246358 
  3. Al Kaabi N, Zhang Y, Xia S, Yang Y, Al Qahtani MM, Abdulrazzaq N, et al. Effect of 2 inactivated SARS-CoV-2 vaccines on symptomatic COVID-19 infection in adults: a randomized clinical trial. JAMA. 2021;326(1):35-45.  https://doi.org/10.1001/jama.2021.8565  PMID: 34037666 
  4. Polack FP, Thomas SJ, Kitchin N, Absalon J, Gurtman A, Lockhart S, et al. Safety and efficacy of the BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 vaccine. N Engl J Med. 2020;383(27):2603-15.  https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2034577  PMID: 33301246 
  5. Moreira ED Jr, Kitchin N, Xu X, Dychter SS, Lockhart S, Gurtman A, et al. Safety and efficacy of a third dose of BNT162b2 Covid-19 vaccine. N Engl J Med. 2022;386(20):1910-21.  https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMoa2200674  PMID: 35320659 
  6. Šmíd M, Berec L, Přibylová L, Májek O, Pavlík T, Jarkovský J, et al. Protection by vaccines and previous infection against the omicron variant of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2. J Infect Dis. 2022;226(8):1385-90.  https://doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiac161  PMID: 35482442 
  7. Berec L, Šmíd M, Přibylová L, Májek O, Pavlík T, Jarkovský J, et al. Protection provided by vaccination, booster doses and previous infection against covid-19 infection, hospitalisation or death over time in Czechia. PLoS One. 2022;17(7):e0270801.  https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0270801  PMID: 35802590 
  8. Tartof SY, Slezak JM, Puzniak L, Hong V, Frankland TB, Ackerson BK, et al. Effectiveness of BNT162b2 BA.4/5 bivalent mRNA vaccine against a range of COVID-19 outcomes in a large health system in the USA: a test-negative case-control study. Lancet Respir Med. 2023;11(12):1089-100.  https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-2600(23)00306-5  PMID: 37898148 
  9. Kitamura N, Otani K, Kinoshita R, Yan F, Takizawa Y, Fukushima K, et al. Protective effect of previous infection and vaccination against reinfection with BA.5 Omicron subvariant: a nationwide population-based study in Japan. Lancet Reg Health West Pac. 2023;41:100911.  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.lanwpc.2023.100911  PMID: 38223396 
  10. Ackerson BK, Bruxvoort KJ, Qian L, Sy LS, Qiu S, Tubert JE, et al. Effectiveness and durability of mRNA-1273 BA.4/BA.5 bivalent vaccine (mRNA-1273.222) against SARS-CoV-2 BA.4/BA.5 and XBB sublineages. Hum Vaccin Immunother. 2024;20(1):2335052.  https://doi.org/10.1080/21645515.2024.2335052  PMID: 38575149 
  11. Rotshild V, Hirsh-Raccah B, Miskin I, Muszkat M, Matok I. Comparing the clinical efficacy of COVID-19 vaccines: a systematic review and network meta-analysis. Sci Rep. 2021;11(1):22777.  https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-021-02321-z  PMID: 34815503 
  12. Wu N, Joyal-Desmarais K, Ribeiro PAB, Vieira AM, Stojanovic J, Sanuade C, et al. Long-term effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines against infections, hospitalisations, and mortality in adults: findings from a rapid living systematic evidence synthesis and meta-analysis up to December, 2022. Lancet Respir Med. 2023;11(5):439-52.  https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-2600(23)00015-2  PMID: 36780914 
  13. Yang ZR, Jiang YW, Li FX, Liu D, Lin TF, Zhao ZY, et al. Efficacy of SARS-CoV-2 vaccines and the dose-response relationship with three major antibodies: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials. Lancet Microbe. 2023;4(4):e236-46.  https://doi.org/10.1016/S2666-5247(22)00390-1  PMID: 36868258 
  14. Laake I, Skodvin SN, Blix K, Caspersen IH, Gjessing HK, Juvet LK, et al. Effectiveness of mRNA booster vaccination against mild, moderate, and severe covid-19 caused by the omicron variant in a large, population-based, Norwegian cohort. J Infect Dis. 2022;226(11):1924-33.  https://doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiac419  PMID: 36259543 
  15. Liu B, Gidding H, Stepien S, Cretikos M, Macartney K. Relative effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccination with 3 compared to 2 doses against SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.529 (Omicron) among an Australian population with low prior rates of SARS-CoV-2 infection. Vaccine. 2022;40(43):6288-94.  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2022.09.029  PMID: 36180375 
  16. Lai FTT, Yan VKC, Wan EYF, Chan CIY, Wei C, Cheng FWT, et al. COVID-19 vaccine effectiveness against the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 in multimorbidity: A territory-wide case-control study. iScience. 2024;27(4):109428.  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isci.2024.109428  PMID: 38544567 
  17. Bennett JC, Luiten KG, O’Hanlon J, Han PD, McDonald D, Wright T, et al. Utilizing a university testing program to estimate relative effectiveness of monovalent COVID-19 mRNA booster vaccine versus two-dose primary series against symptomatic SARS-CoV-2 infection. Vaccine. 2024;42(6):1332-41.  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2024.01.080  PMID: 38307746 
  18. Rahman MO, Kamigaki T, Thandar MM, Haruyama R, Yan F, Shibamura-Fujiogi M, et al. Protection of the third-dose and fourth-dose mRNA vaccines against SARS-CoV-2 Omicron subvariant: a systematic review and meta-analysis. BMJ Open. 2023;13(12):e076892.  https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjopen-2023-076892  PMID: 38128943 
  19. Rudolph AE, Khan FL, Shah A, Singh TG, Wiemken TL, Puzniak LA, et al. Effectiveness of BNT162b2 BA.4/5 bivalent mRNA vaccine against symptomatic covid-19 among immunocompetent individuals testing at a large us retail pharmacy. J Infect Dis. 2024;229(3):648-59.  https://doi.org/10.1093/infdis/jiad474  PMID: 37925630 
  20. Byambasuren O, Stehlik P, Clark J, Alcorn K, Glasziou P. Effect of covid-19 vaccination on long covid: systematic review. BMJ Med. 2023;2(1):e000385.  https://doi.org/10.1136/bmjmed-2022-000385  PMID: 36936268 
  21. Romero-Ibarguengoitia ME, Rodríguez-Torres JF, Garza-Silva A, Rivera-Cavazos A, Morales-Rodriguez DP, Hurtado-Cabrera M, et al. Association of vaccine status, reinfections, and risk factors with Long COVID syndrome. Sci Rep. 2024;14(1):2817.  https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-52925-4  PMID: 38307886 
  22. Català M, Mercadé-Besora N, Kolde R, Trinh NTH, Roel E, Burn E, et al. The effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines to prevent long COVID symptoms: staggered cohort study of data from the UK, Spain, and Estonia. Lancet Respir Med. 2024;12(3):225-36.  https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-2600(23)00414-9  PMID: 38219763 
  23. Trinh NT, Jödicke AM, Català M, Mercadé-Besora N, Hayati S, Lupattelli A, et al. Effectiveness of COVID-19 vaccines to prevent long COVID: data from Norway. Lancet Respir Med. 2024;12(5):e33-4.  https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-2600(24)00082-1  PMID: 38614106 
  24. Yousaf AR, Mak J, Gwynn L, Bloodworth R, Rai R, Jeddy Z, et al. 1935. COVID-19 mRNA vaccination reduces the occurrence of post-COVID conditions in U.S. children aged 5-17 years following omicron SARS-CoV-2 infection, July 2021-september 2022. Open Forum Infect Dis. 2023;10(Suppl 2) Supplement_2;ofad500.2466.  https://doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofad500.2466 
  25. Razzaghi H, Forrest CB, Hirabayashi K, Wu Q, Allen AJ, Rao S, et al. Vaccine effectiveness against long covid in children. Pediatrics. 2024;153(4):e2023064446.  https://doi.org/10.1542/peds.2023-064446  PMID: 38225804 
  26. World Health Organization (WHO). International Statistical Classification of Diseases and Related Health Problems 10th Revision (ICD-10 Version:2019). Geneva: WHO; 2019. Available from: https://icd.who.int/browse10/2019/en
  27. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC). SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern. Stockholm: ECDC. [Accessed: 20 Feb 2022]. Available from: https://www.ecdc.europa.eu/en/covid-19/variants-concern
  28. Skála K. (Post-COVID syndrome/disability: definition, diagnosis and classification). Neumannová, Koblížek ČPF ČLS JEP working group. Post-covid syndrom/postižení: definice, diagnostika a klasifikace. Stud Pneumol Phtiseol. 2021;81(5):215.
  29. Nalbandian A, Sehgal K, Gupta A, Madhavan MV, McGroder C, Stevens JS, et al. Post-acute COVID-19 syndrome. Nat Med. 2021;27(4):601-15.  https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-021-01283-z  PMID: 33753937 
  30. Mizrahi B, Sudry T, Flaks-Manov N, Yehezkelli Y, Kalkstein N, Akiva P, et al. Long covid outcomes at one year after mild SARS-CoV-2 infection: nationwide cohort study. BMJ. 2023;380:e072529.  https://doi.org/10.1136/bmj-2022-072529  PMID: 36631153 
  31. Tsampasian V, Elghazaly H, Chattopadhyay R, Debski M, Naing TKP, Garg P, et al. Risk factors associated with post-COVID-19 condition: A systematic review and meta-analysis. JAMA Intern Med. 2023;183(6):566-80.  https://doi.org/10.1001/jamainternmed.2023.0750  PMID: 36951832 
  32. Al-Aly Z, Bowe B, Xie Y. Long COVID after breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 infection. Nat Med. 2022;28(7):1461-7.  https://doi.org/10.1038/s41591-022-01840-0  PMID: 35614233 
/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2024.29.35.2300690
Loading

Data & Media loading...

Supplementary data

Submit comment
Close
Comment moderation successfully completed
This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address
Approval was a Success
Invalid data
An Error Occurred
Approval was partially successful, following selected items could not be processed due to error