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Abstract

Following the spread of the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 variant, social distancing was strengthened in France in January 2021. Using a two-strain mathematical model calibrated on genomic surveillance, we estimated that curfew measures allowed hospitalisations to plateau by decreasing transmission of the historical strains while B.1.1.7 continued to grow. School holidays appear to have further slowed down progression in February. Without progressively strengthened social distancing, a rapid surge of hospitalisations is expected, despite the foreseen increase in vaccination rhythm.

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/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.15.2100272
2021-04-15
2024-11-21
http://instance.metastore.ingenta.com/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.15.2100272
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Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 circulation in France
<p class="citation"> <span>Citation style for this article:</span> <span class="meta-value authors"> <a href="/search?value1=Laura+Di+Domenico&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Di Domenico Laura</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Chiara+E+Sabbatini&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Sabbatini Chiara E</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Giulia+Pullano&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Pullano Giulia</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Daniel+L%C3%A9vy-Bruhl&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Lévy-Bruhl Daniel</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Vittoria+Colizza&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Colizza Vittoria</a></span>. Impact of January 2021 curfew measures on SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 circulation in France. <a href="/content/ecdc">Euro Surveill.</a> 2021;26(15):pii=2100272. <a href="https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.15.2100272" title="doi link" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.15.2100272</a> <span class="ES_Article_citation"> <span class="generated">Received</span>: 09 Mar 2021;&nbsp;&nbsp; <span class="generated">Accepted</span>: 14 Apr 2021 </span> </p>
/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.15.2100272
/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2021.26.15.2100272
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