1887
Rapid communication Open Access
Like 0

Abstract

We used a mathematical model to evaluate the impact of mass testing in the control of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Under optimistic assumptions, one round of mass testing may reduce daily infections by up to 20–30%. Consequently, very frequent testing would be required to control a quickly growing epidemic if other control measures were to be relaxed. Mass testing is most relevant when epidemic growth remains limited through a combination of interventions.

Loading

Article metrics loading...

/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.26.1.2001978
2021-01-07
2024-11-21
http://instance.metastore.ingenta.com/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.26.1.2001978
Loading
Loading full text...

Full text loading...

/deliver/fulltext/eurosurveillance/26/1/eurosurv-26-1-2.html?itemId=/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.26.1.2001978&mimeType=html&fmt=ahah

References

  1. Mina MJ, Parker R, Larremore DB. Rethinking Covid-19 test sensitivity - a strategy for containment. N Engl J Med. 2020;383(22):e120.  https://doi.org/10.1056/NEJMp2025631  PMID: 32997903 
  2. van Beek J, Igloi Z, Boelsums T, Fanoy E, Gotz H, Molenkamp R, et al. From more testing to smart testing: data-guided SARS-CoV-2 testing choices; medRxiv 2020. Available from:  https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.13.20211524 
  3. Alemany A, Baro B, Ouchi D, Ubals M, Corbacho-Monné M, Vergara-Alert J, et al. Analytical and clinical performance of the Panbio COVID-19 antigen-detecting rapid diagnostic test; medRxiv 2020. Available from:  https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.10.30.20223198 
  4. Salje H, Tran Kiem C, Lefrancq N, Courtejoie N, Bosetti P, Paireau J, et al. Estimating the burden of SARS-CoV-2 in France. Science. 2020;369(6500):208-11. https://doi.org/10.1126/science.abc3517  PMID: 32404476 
  5. Wallinga J, Lipsitch M. How generation intervals shape the relationship between growth rates and reproductive numbers. Proc Biol Sci. 2007;274(1609):599-604.  https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2006.3754  PMID: 17476782 
  6. Paireau J, A Mailles, Eisenauher C, de Laval F, Delon F, Bosetti P, et al. Early chains of transmission of COVID-19 in France; medRxiv 2020. Available from:  https://doi.org/http://dx.doi.org/10.1101/2020.11.17.20232264 
  7. Larremore DB, Wilder B, Lester E, Shehata S, Burke JM, Hay JA, et al. Test sensitivity is secondary to frequency and turnaround time for COVID-19 screening. Sci Adv. 2020;eabd5393. PMID: 33219112 
  8. Sante Publique France. COVID-19 Point épidémiologique hebdomadaire du 22 octobre 2020. [Weekly epidemiological newsletter, October 22 2020]. Paris: Sante Publique France; 2020. French. Available from: https://www.santepubliquefrance.fr/maladies-et-traumatismes/maladies-et-infections-respiratoires/infection-a-coronavirus/documents/bulletin-national/covid-19-point-epidemiologique-du-22-octobre-2020
  9. Bootsma MCJ, Kretzschmar ME, Rozhnova G, Heesterbeek JAP, Kluytmans JAJW, Bonten MJM. Regular universal screening for SARS-CoV-2 infection may not allow reopening of society after controlling a pandemic wave; medRxiv 2020. Available from:  https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.11.18.20233122 
  10. Holt E. Slovakia to test all adults for SARS-CoV-2. Lancet. 2020;396(10260):1386-7.  https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(20)32261-3  PMID: 33129382 
  11. Pavelka M, Van-Zandvoort K, Abbott S, Sherratt K, Majdan M, CMMID COVID-19 working group, et al. The effectiveness of population-wide, rapid antigen test based screening in reducing SARS-CoV-2 infection prevalence in Slovakia; medRxiv 2020. Available from:  https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.12.02.20240648 
  12. Burki T. Mass testing for COVID-19. The Lancet Microbe. 2020;1(8):e317.
  13. Smith LE, Potts HWW, Amlot R, Fear NT, Michie S, Rubin J. Adherence to the test, trace and isolate system: results from a time series of 21 nationally representative surveys in the UK (the COVID-19 Rapid Survey of Adherence to Interventions and Responses [CORSAIR] study); medRxiv 2020. Available from:  https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.09.15.20191957 
  14. Moreno López JA, Arregui-Garcĺa B, Bentkowski P, Bioglio L, Pinotti F, Boëlle PY, et al. Anatomy of digital contact tracing: role of age, transmission setting, adoption and case detection; medRxiv 2020. Available from:  https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.07.22.20158352 
/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.26.1.2001978
Loading

Data & Media loading...

Submit comment
Close
Comment moderation successfully completed
This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address
Approval was a Success
Invalid data
An Error Occurred
Approval was partially successful, following selected items could not be processed due to error