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Potential adjustment methodology for missing data and reporting delay in the HIV Surveillance System, European Union/European Economic Area, 2015
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View Affiliations Hide AffiliationsMagdalena Rosinskamrosinska pzh.gov.pl
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Members of the ECDC HIV/AIDS Surveillance Network: Daniela Schmid, Andre Sasse, Dominique Van Beckhoven, Tonka Varleva, Tatjana Nemeth Blazic, Linos Hadjihannas, Maria Koliou, Marek Maly, Susan Cowan, Kristi Rüütel, Kirsi Liitsola, Mika Salminen, Françoise Cazein, Josiane Pillonel, Florence Lot, Barbara Gunsenheimer-Bartmeyer, Georgios Nikolopoulos, Dimitra Paraskeva, Maria Dudas, Haraldur Briem, Gudrun Sigmundsdottir, Derval Igoe, Kate O’Donnell, Darina O’Flanagan, Barbara Suligoi, Šarlote Konova, Sabine Erne, Irma Čaplinskienė, Aurelie Fischer, Jean-Claude Schmit, Jackie Maistre Melillo, Tanya Melillo, Eline Op de Coul, Ard van Sighem, Hans Blystad, Magdalena Rosinska, Isabel Aldir, Helena Cortes Martins, Mariana Mardarescu, Peter Truska, Irena Klavs, Asuncion Diaz, Maria Axelsson, Valerie DelpechView Citation Hide Citation
Citation style for this article: . Potential adjustment methodology for missing data and reporting delay in the HIV Surveillance System, European Union/European Economic Area, 2015. Euro Surveill. 2018;23(23):pii=1700359. https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2018.23.23.1700359 Received: 02 Jun 2017; Accepted: 09 Oct 2017
Abstract
Accurate case-based surveillance data remain the key data source for estimating HIV burden and monitoring prevention efforts in Europe. We carried out a literature review and exploratory analysis of surveillance data regarding two crucial issues affecting European surveillance for HIV: missing data and reporting delay. Initial screening showed substantial variability of these data issues, both in time and across countries. In terms of missing data, the CD4+ cell count is the most problematic variable because of the high proportion of missing values. In 20 of 31 countries of the European Union/European Economic Area (EU/EEA), CD4+ counts are systematically missing for all or some years. One of the key challenges related to reporting delays is that countries undertake specific one-off actions in effort to capture previously unreported cases, and that these cases are subsequently reported with excessive delays. Slightly different underlying assumptions and effectively different models may be required for individual countries to adjust for missing data and reporting delays. However, using a similar methodology is recommended to foster harmonisation and to improve the accuracy and usability of HIV surveillance data at national and EU/EEA levels.
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