Early transmission dynamics of Ebola virus disease (EVD), West Africa, March to August 2014

H Nishiura; G Chowell

doi:10.2807/1560-7917.ES2014.19.36.20894

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Early transmission dynamics of Ebola virus disease (EVD), West Africa, March to August 2014
H Nishiura¹ , G Chowell^2,3
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Affiliations: ¹ Graduate School of Medicine, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan ² School of Human Evolution and Social Change, Arizona State University, Tempe, Arizona, United States ³ Division of International Epidemiology and Population Studies, Fogarty International Center, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland, United States

Correspondence:
H Nishiura
nishiurah m.u-tokyo.ac.jp
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Citation style for this article: Nishiura H, Chowell G. Early transmission dynamics of Ebola virus disease (EVD), West Africa, March to August 2014. Euro Surveill. 2014;19(36):pii=20894. https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES2014.19.36.20894 Received: 23 Aug 2014

Abstract

The effective reproduction number, Rt, of Ebola virus disease was estimated using country-specific data reported from Guinea, Liberia and Sierra Leone to the World Health Organization from March to August, 2014. Rt for the three countries lies consistently above 1.0 since June 2014. Country-specific Rt for Liberia and Sierra Leone have lied between 1.0 and 2.0. Rt<2 indicate that control could be attained by preventing over half of the secondary transmissions per primary case.