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Abstract

We estimate the potential remaining COVID-19 hospitalisation and death burdens in 19 European countries by estimating the proportion of each country’s population that has acquired immunity to severe disease through infection or vaccination. Our results suggest many European countries could still face high burdens of hospitalisations and deaths, particularly those with lower vaccination coverage, less historical transmission and/or older populations. Continued non-pharmaceutical interventions and efforts to achieve high vaccination coverage are required in these countries to limit severe COVID-19 outcomes.

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/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.1.2101038
2022-01-06
2024-11-21
http://instance.metastore.ingenta.com/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.1.2101038
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Unexposed populations and potential COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths in European countries as per data up to 21 November 2021
<p class="citation"> <span>Citation style for this article:</span> <span class="meta-value authors"> <a href="/search?value1=Lloyd+A+C+Chapman&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Chapman Lloyd A C</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Rosanna+C+Barnard&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Barnard Rosanna C</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Timothy+W+Russell&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Russell Timothy W</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Sam+Abbott&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Abbott Sam</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Kevin+van+Zandvoort&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">van Zandvoort Kevin</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Nicholas+G+Davies&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Davies Nicholas G</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Adam+J+Kucharski&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Kucharski Adam J</a></span>. Unexposed populations and potential COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths in European countries as per data up to 21 November 2021. <a href="/content/ecdc">Euro Surveill.</a> 2022;27(1):pii=2101038. <a href="https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.1.2101038" title="doi link" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.1.2101038</a> <span class="ES_Article_citation"> <span class="generated">Received</span>: 09 Nov 2021;&nbsp;&nbsp; <span class="generated">Accepted</span>: 16 Dec 2021 </span> </p>
/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.1.2101038
/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2022.27.1.2101038
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