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Abstract

As at 27 January 2020, 42 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases were confirmed outside China. We estimate the risk of case importation to Europe from affected areas in China via air travel. We consider travel restrictions in place, three reported cases in France, one in Germany. Estimated risk in Europe remains high. The United Kingdom, Germany and France are at highest risk. Importation from Beijing and Shanghai would lead to higher and widespread risk for Europe.

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/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000057
2020-01-30
2024-12-21
/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000057
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Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020
<p class="citation"> <span>Citation style for this article:</span> <span class="meta-value authors"> <a href="/search?value1=Giulia+Pullano&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Pullano Giulia</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Francesco+Pinotti&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Pinotti Francesco</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Eugenio+Valdano&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Valdano Eugenio</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Pierre-Yves+Bo%C3%ABlle&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Boëlle Pierre-Yves</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Chiara+Poletto&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Poletto Chiara</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Vittoria+Colizza&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Colizza Vittoria</a></span>. Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020. <a href="/content/ecdc">Euro Surveill.</a> 2020;25(4):pii=2000057. <a href="https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000057" title="doi link" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000057</a> <span class="ES_Article_citation"> <span class="generated">Received</span>: 23 Jan 2020;&nbsp;&nbsp; <span class="generated">Accepted</span>: 30 Jan 2020 </span> </p>
/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000057
/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000057
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