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Spatial variability in the reproduction number of Ebola virus disease, Democratic Republic of the Congo, January–September 2019
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View Affiliations Hide AffiliationsKenji Mizumotomizumoto.kenji.5a kyoto-u.ac.jp
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Citation style for this article: . Spatial variability in the reproduction number of Ebola virus disease, Democratic Republic of the Congo, January–September 2019. Euro Surveill. 2019;24(42):pii=1900588. https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2019.24.42.1900588 Received: 22 Sept 2019; Accepted: 17 Oct 2019
Abstract
The ongoing Ebola virus disease epidemic (August 2018─October 2019) in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, has been exacerbated by deliberate attacks on healthcare workers despite vaccination efforts. Using a mathematical/statistical modelling framework, we present the quantified effective reproduction number (Rt) at national and regional levels as at 29 September. The weekly trend in Rt displays fluctuations while our recent national-level Rt falls slightly above 1.0 with substantial uncertainty, which suggests improvements in epidemic control.
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