-
A modified chain binomial model to analyse the ongoing measles epidemic in Greece, July 2017 to February 2018
-
View Affiliations Hide AffiliationsTheodore Lytrasthlytras gmail.com
-
View Citation Hide Citation
Citation style for this article: . A modified chain binomial model to analyse the ongoing measles epidemic in Greece, July 2017 to February 2018. Euro Surveill. 2018;23(17):pii=18-00165. https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2018.23.17.18-00165 Received: 05 Apr 2018; Accepted: 26 Apr 2018
Abstract
Greece is currently experiencing a large measles outbreak, in the context of multiple similar outbreaks across Europe. We devised and applied a modified chain-binomial epidemic model, requiring very simple data, to estimate the transmission parameters of this outbreak. Model results indicate sustained measles transmission among the Greek Roma population, necessitating a targeted mass vaccination campaign to halt further spread of the epidemic. Our model may be useful for other countries facing similar measles outbreaks.

Full text loading...
