1887
Research article Open Access
Like 0

Abstract

Background and aims

The Burden of Communicable Diseases in Europe (BCoDE) study aimed to calculate disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 31 selected diseases in the European Union (EU) and European Economic Area (EEA). DALYs were estimated using an incidence-based and pathogen-based approach. Incidence was estimated through assessment of data availability and quality, and a correction was applied for under-estimation. Calculation of DALYs was performed with the BCoDE software toolkit without applying time discounting and age-weighting. We estimated that one in 14 inhabitants experienced an infectious disease episode for a total burden of 1.38 million DALYs (95% uncertainty interval (UI): 1.25–1.5) between 2009 and 2013; 76% of which was related to the acute phase of the infection and its short-term complications. Influenza had the highest burden (30% of the total burden), followed by tuberculosis, human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection/AIDS and invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD). Men had the highest burden measured in DALYs (60% of the total), adults 65 years of age and over had 24% and children less than 5 years of age had 11%. Age group-specific burden showed that infants (less than 1 year of age) and elderly people (80 years of age and over) experienced the highest burden. These results provide baseline estimates for evaluating infectious disease prevention and control strategies. The study promotes an evidence-based approach to describing population health and assessing surveillance data availability and quality, and provides information for the planning and prioritisation of limited resources in infectious disease prevention and control.

Loading

Article metrics loading...

/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2018.23.16.17-00454
2018-04-19
2024-12-03
http://instance.metastore.ingenta.com/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2018.23.16.17-00454
Loading
Loading full text...

Full text loading...

/deliver/fulltext/eurosurveillance/23/16/eurosurv-23-16-3.html?itemId=/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2018.23.16.17-00454&mimeType=html&fmt=ahah

References

  1. Lopez AD, Mathers CD, Ezzati M, Jamison DT, Murray CJL, editors. Global Burden of Disease and Risk Factors. New York: Oxford University Press; 2006.
  2. Stevens G, Dias RH, Thomas KJ, Rivera JA, Carvalho N, Barquera S, et al. Characterizing the epidemiological transition in Mexico: national and subnational burden of diseases, injuries, and risk factors. PLoS Med. 2008;5(6):e125.  https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.0050125  PMID: 18563960 
  3. Public Health Group of the Department of Human Services. Victorian Burden of Disease Study: Mortality and morbidity in 2001. Melbourne: Victoria Government Department of Human Services; 2005. Available from: https://www2.health.vic.gov.au/public-health/population-health-systems/health-status-of-victorians/composite-data-and-reports-on-the-health-of-victorians/burden-of-disease
  4. Kwong JC, Ratnasingham S, Campitelli MA, Daneman N, Deeks SL, Manuel DG, et al. The impact of infection on population health: results of the Ontario burden of infectious diseases study. PLoS One. 2012;7(9):e44103.  https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0044103  PMID: 22962601 
  5. van Lier A, McDonald SA, Bouwknegt M, Kretzschmar ME, Havelaar AH, Mangen MJ, et al. Disease Burden of 32 Infectious Diseases in the Netherlands, 2007-2011. PLoS One. 2016;11(4):e0153106.  https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0153106  PMID: 27097024 
  6. Murray CJ, Vos T, Lozano R, Naghavi M, Flaxman AD, Michaud C, et al. Disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) for 291 diseases and injuries in 21 regions, 1990-2010: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2010. Lancet. 2012;380(9859):2197-223.  https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(12)61689-4  PMID: 23245608 
  7. Vos T, Barber RM, Bell B, Bertozzi-Villa A, Biryukov S, Bolliger I, et al. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 301 acute and chronic diseases and injuries in 188 countries, 1990-2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013. Lancet. 2015;386(9995):743-800.  https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(15)60692-4  PMID: 26063472 
  8. Havelaar AH, Kirk MD, Torgerson PR, Gibb HJ, Hald T, Lake RJ, et al. World Health Organization Global Estimates and Regional Comparisons of the Burden of Foodborne Disease in 2010. PLoS Med. 2015;12(12):e1001923.  https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001923  PMID: 26633896 
  9. Morens DM, Folkers GK, Fauci AS. The challenge of emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases. Nature. 2004;430(6996):242-9.  https://doi.org/10.1038/nature02759  PMID: 15241422 
  10. Jones KE, Patel NG, Levy MA, Storeygard A, Balk D, Gittleman JL, et al. Global trends in emerging infectious diseases. Nature. 2008;451(7181):990-3.  https://doi.org/10.1038/nature06536  PMID: 18288193 
  11. Quaglio G, Demotes-Mainard J, Loddenkemper R. Emerging and re-emerging infectious diseases: a continuous challenge for Europe. Eur Respir J. 2012;40(6):1312-4.  https://doi.org/10.1183/09031936.00111712  PMID: 23204016 
  12. Kaasik-Aaslav K, Coulombier D. The tail of the epidemic and the challenge of tracing the very last Ebola case. Euro Surveill. 2015;20(12):21075.  https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES2015.20.12.21075  PMID: 25846487 
  13. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC). Rapid Risk Assessment. Zika virus disease epidemic. Seventh update, 8 July 2016. Stockholm: ECDC; 2016. Available from: https://ecdc.europa.eu/sites/portal/files/media/en/publications/Publications/RRA-Zika-virus%20epidemic-seventh-update-final.pdf
  14. Rezza G, Nicoletti L, Angelini R, Romi R, Finarelli AC, Panning M, et al. Infection with chikungunya virus in Italy: an outbreak in a temperate region. Lancet. 2007;370(9602):1840-6.  https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(07)61779-6  PMID: 18061059 
  15. de Martel C, Ferlay J, Franceschi S, Vignat J, Bray F, Forman D, et al. Global burden of cancers attributable to infections in 2008: a review and synthetic analysis. Lancet Oncol. 2012;13(6):607-15.  https://doi.org/10.1016/S1470-2045(12)70137-7  PMID: 22575588 
  16. Orrskog S, Medin E, Tsolova S, Semenza JC. Causal inference regarding infectious aetiology of chronic conditions: a systematic review. PLoS One. 2013;8(7):e68861.  https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0068861  PMID: 23935899 
  17. van Lier EA, Havelaar AH, Nanda A. The burden of infectious diseases in Europe: a pilot study. Euro Surveill. 2007;12(12):751.  https://doi.org/10.2807/esm.12.12.00751-en  PMID: 18076860 
  18. Jakab Z. Why a burden of disease study? Euro Surveill. 2007;12(12):750.  https://doi.org/10.2807/esm.12.12.00750-en  PMID: 18076856 
  19. Kretzschmar M, Mangen MJ, Pinheiro P, Jahn B, Fèvre EM, Longhi S, et al. New methodology for estimating the burden of infectious diseases in Europe. PLoS Med. 2012;9(4):e1001205.  https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001205  PMID: 22529750 
  20. Mangen MJ, Plass D, Havelaar AH, Gibbons CL, Cassini A, Mühlberger N, et al. The pathogen- and incidence-based DALY approach: an appropriate [corrected] methodology for estimating the burden of infectious diseases. PLoS One. 2013;8(11):e79740.  https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0079740  PMID: 24278167 
  21. Murray CJ, Lopez AD. Global mortality, disability, and the contribution of risk factors: Global Burden of Disease Study. Lancet. 1997;349(9063):1436-42.  https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(96)07495-8  PMID: 9164317 
  22. Murray CJ. Quantifying the burden of disease: the technical basis for disability-adjusted life years. Bull World Health Organ. 1994;72(3):429-45. PMID: 8062401 
  23. Murray CJ, Ezzati M, Flaxman AD, Lim S, Lozano R, Michaud C, et al. GBD 2010: design, definitions, and metrics. Lancet. 2012;380(9859):2063-6.  https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(12)61899-6  PMID: 23245602 
  24. Haagsma JA, Maertens de Noordhout C, Polinder S, Vos T, Havelaar AH, Cassini A, et al. Assessing disability weights based on the responses of 30,660 people from four European countries. Popul Health Metr. 2015;13(1):10.  https://doi.org/10.1186/s12963-015-0042-4  PMID: 26778920 
  25. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC). BCoDE toolkit. Version 1.2. Stockholm: ECDC; 2015. Available from: https://ecdc.europa.eu/en/toolkit-application-calculate-dalys
  26. The European Parliament and the Council of the European Union. Decision No 2119/98/EC of the European Parliament and of the Council of 24 September 1998 setting up a network for the epidemiological surveillance and control of communicable diseases in the Community. Official Journal of the European Union. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union. 3.10.1998:L 268. Available from: http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=CELEX:31998D2119:EN:HTML
  27. The European Parliament and the Council of the European Union. Regulation (EC) No 851/2004 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 21 April 2004 establishing a European centre for disease prevention and control. Official Journal of the European Union. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union. 30.4.2004:L 142. Available from: http://ecdc.europa.eu/en/aboutus/Key%20Documents/0404_KD_Regulation_establishing_ECDC.pdf
  28. Eurostat. Population on 1 January by age and sex, 2011. Luxembourg: Eurostat. [Accessed 1 May 2016]. Available from: http://appsso.eurostat.ec.europa.eu/nui/show.do?dataset=demo_pjan&lang=en
  29. Gibbons CL, Mangen MJ, Plass D, Havelaar AH, Brooke RJ, Kramarz P, et al. Measuring underreporting and under-ascertainment in infectious disease datasets: a comparison of methods. BMC Public Health. 2014;14(1):147.  https://doi.org/10.1186/1471-2458-14-147  PMID: 24517715 
  30. Hayward AC, Fragaszy EB, Bermingham A, Wang L, Copas A, Edmunds WJ, et al. Comparative community burden and severity of seasonal and pandemic influenza: results of the Flu Watch cohort study. Lancet Respir Med. 2014;2(6):445-54.  https://doi.org/10.1016/S2213-2600(14)70034-7  PMID: 24717637 
  31. Murray CLA. Rethinking DALYs. In: Murray CLA, Lopez AD, editors. The global burden of disease: a comprehensive assessment of mortality and disability from diseases, injuries, and risk factors in 1990 and projected to 2020. Boston: Harvard School of Public Health; 1996. p.1-98.
  32. Mangen MJJ, Kretzschmar MEE. Impact of time trends and the time span of data collection on disease burden estimates of infectious diseases. In: Mangen MJM, Plass D, Ktretzschmar MEE, editors. Estimating the current and future burden of communicable diseases in the European Union and EEA/EFTA. Bilthoven: National Institute for Public Health and the Environment; 2014. p. 66-71.
  33. Devleesschauwer B, Haagsma JA, Angulo FJ, Bellinger DC, Cole D, Döpfer D, et al. Methodological Framework for World Health Organization Estimates of the Global Burden of Foodborne Disease. PLoS One. 2015;10(12):e0142498.  https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0142498  PMID: 26633883 
  34. Muscat M, Marinova L, Mankertz A, Gatcheva N, Mihneva Z, Santibanez S, et al. The measles outbreak in Bulgaria, 2009-2011: An epidemiological assessment and lessons learnt. Euro Surveill. 2016;21(9):30152.  https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2016.21.9.30152  PMID: 26967661 
  35. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC). Revised estimates of deaths associated with seasonal influenza in the US. ECDC Comment. Stockholm: ECDC; 24 Oct 2010. Available from: https://ecdc.europa.eu/en/news-events/revised-estimates-deaths-associated-seasonal-influenza-us
  36. van den Wijngaard CC, van Asten L, Koopmans MP, van Pelt W, Nagelkerke NJ, Wielders CC, et al. Comparing pandemic to seasonal influenza mortality: moderate impact overall but high mortality in young children. PLoS One. 2012;7(2):e31197.  https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0031197  PMID: 22319616 
  37. National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM). State of Infectious Diseases in the Netherlands, 2013. Bilthoven: RIVM; 2014. Available from: http://www.rivm.nl/bibliotheek/rapporten/150205001.pdf
  38. National Institute for Public Health and the Environment (RIVM). State of Infectious diseases in the Netherlands, 2015. Bilthoven: RIVM; 2016. Available from: http://www.rivm.nl/bibliotheek/rapporten/2016-0069.pdf
  39. Council of the European Union. Council Recommendation of 22 December 2009 on seasonal influenza vaccination (Text with EEA relevance). Official Journal of the European Union. Luxembourg: Publications Office of the European Union. 29.12.2009: L 348/71. Available from: http://eur-lex.europa.eu/LexUriServ/LexUriServ.do?uri=OJ:L:2009:348:0071:0072:EN:PDF
  40. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC). Seasonal influenza vaccination in Europe. Vaccination recommendations and coverage rates in the EU Member States for eight influenza seasons: 2007–2008 to 2014–2015. Stockholm: ECDC, Jul 2017. Available from: https://ecdc.europa.eu/sites/portal/files/documents/influenza-vaccination-2007%E2%80%932008-to-2014%E2%80%932015.pdf
  41. Eurostat. Causes of death - standardised death rate by residence. Luxembourg: Eurostat. [Accessed 1 Aug 2016]. Available from: http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/data/database
  42. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)/World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe (WHO/Europe). HIV/AIDS surveillance in Europe 2014. Stockholm: ECDC; 2015. Available from: https://ecdc.europa.eu/sites/portal/files/media/en/publications/Publications/hiv-aids-surveillance-in-Europe-2014.pdf
  43. Navarro-Torné A, Dias JG, Hruba F, Lopalco PL, Pastore-Celentano L, Gauci AJInvasive Pneumococcal Disease Study Group. Risk factors for death from invasive pneumococcal disease, Europe, 2010. Emerg Infect Dis. 2015;21(3):417-25.  https://doi.org/10.3201/eid2103.140634  PMID: 25693604 
  44. van Deursen AM, van Mens SP, Sanders EA, Vlaminckx BJ, de Melker HE, Schouls LM, et al. Invasive pneumococcal disease and 7-valent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine, the Netherlands. Emerg Infect Dis. 2012;18(11):1729-37.  https://doi.org/10.3201/eid1811.120329  PMID: 23092683 
  45. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC). Surveillance of invasive bacterial diseases in Europe, 2012. Stockholm: ECDC; 2015. Available from: https://ecdc.europa.eu/sites/portal/files/media/en/publications/Publications/Surveillance%20of%20IBD%20in%20Europe%202012.pdf
  46. Cassini A, Plachouras D, Eckmanns T, Abu Sin M, Blank H-P, Ducomble T, et al. Burden of Six Healthcare-Associated Infections on European Population Health: Estimating Incidence-Based Disability-Adjusted Life Years through a Population Prevalence-Based Modelling Study. PLoS Med. 2016;13(10):e1002150.  https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1002150  PMID: 27755545 
  47. Mayhall CG, editor. Hospital Epidemiology and Infection Control. 4th ed. Philadelphia: Lippincott Williams & Wilkins; 2012.
  48. Jarvis WR, editor. Bennett & Brachman's Hospital Infections. 6th ed. Philadelphia: Lippincott Williams & Wilkins; 2014.
  49. Kirk MD, Pires SM, Black RE, Caipo M, Crump JA, Devleesschauwer B, et al. World Health Organization Estimates of the Global and Regional Disease Burden of 22 Foodborne Bacterial, Protozoal, and Viral Diseases, 2010: A Data Synthesis. PLoS Med. 2015;12(12):e1001921.  https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pmed.1001921  PMID: 26633831 
  50. Hanquet G, Perrocheau A, Kissling E, Bruhl DL, Tarragó D, Stuart J, et al. Surveillance of invasive pneumococcal disease in 30 EU countries: Towards a European system? Vaccine. 2010;28(23):3920-8.  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.vaccine.2010.03.069  PMID: 20394721 
  51. Wichmann O, Hellenbrand W, Sagebiel D, Santibanez S, Ahlemeyer G, Vogt G, et al. Large measles outbreak at a German public school, 2006. Pediatr Infect Dis J. 2007;26(9):782-6.  https://doi.org/10.1097/INF.0b013e318060aca1  PMID: 17721371 
  52. Stein CE, Birmingham M, Kurian M, Duclos P, Strebel P. The global burden of measles in the year 2000--a model that uses country-specific indicators. J Infect Dis. 2003;187(s1) Suppl 1;S8-14.  https://doi.org/10.1086/368114  PMID: 12721886 
  53. Wolfson LJ, Strebel PM, Gacic-Dobo M, Hoekstra EJ, McFarland JW, Hersh BS, et al. Has the 2005 measles mortality reduction goal been achieved? A natural history modelling study. Lancet. 2007;369(9557):191-200.  https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(07)60107-X  PMID: 17240285 
  54. Haagsma JA, Polinder S, Cassini A, Colzani E, Havelaar AH. Review of disability weight studies: comparison of methodological choices and values. Popul Health Metr. 2014;12(1):20.  https://doi.org/10.1186/s12963-014-0020-2  PMID: 26019690 
  55. Colzani E, Cassini A, Lewandowski D, Mangen MJ, Plass D, McDonald SA, et al. A Software Tool for Estimation of Burden of Infectious Diseases in Europe Using Incidence-Based Disability Adjusted Life Years. PLoS One. 2017;12(1):e0170662.  https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0170662  PMID: 28107447 
  56. EFSA Panel on Biological Hazards. Scientific Opinion on the development of a risk ranking toolbox for the EFSA BIOHAZ Panel. EFSA J. 2015;13(1):3939.  https://doi.org/10.2903/j.efsa.2015.3939 
  57. Fafangel M, Cassini A, Colzani E, Klavs I, Grgič Vitek M, Učakar V, et al. Estimating the annual burden of tick-borne encephalitis to inform vaccination policy, Slovenia, 2009 to 2013. Euro Surveill. 2017;22(16):30509.  https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.16.30509  PMID: 28449731 
  58. Cassini A, Colzani E, Kramarz P, Kretzschmar M, Takkinen J. Impact of food and water-borne diseases on European population health. Current Opinion in Food Science.2016;12:21-9.  https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cofs.2016.06.002 
  59. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC). Surveillance Atlas of Infectious Diseases. Stockholm: ECDC. [Accessed 1 Aug 2016]. Available from: https://ecdc.europa.eu/en/surveillance-atlas-infectious-diseases
  60. Cassini AMK, Emborg HD, Simonsen J, Teunis P, van Pelt W, Takkinen J. Estimation of incidence of symptomatic salmonella and campylobacter infections based on sero-incidence in 13 European countries. European Scientific Conference on Applied Infectious Disease Epidemiology (ESCAIDE); Stockholm, Sweden: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC); 2015.
  61. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC). Annual Epidemiological Reports. Stockholm: ECDC. [Accessed 1 Apr 2016]. Available from: https://ecdc.europa.eu/en/annual-epidemiological-reports
  62. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)/World Health Organization Regional Office for Europe (WHO/Europe). Tuberculosis surveillance and monitoring in Europe 2016. Stockholm: ECDC; 2016. Available from: https://ecdc.europa.eu/sites/portal/files/media/en/publications/Publications/ecdc-tuberculosis-surveillance-monitoring-Europe-2016.pdf
/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2018.23.16.17-00454
Loading

Data & Media loading...

Supplementary data

Submit comment
Close
Comment moderation successfully completed
This is a required field
Please enter a valid email address
Approval was a Success
Invalid data
An Error Occurred
Approval was partially successful, following selected items could not be processed due to error