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Abstract

Transmission potential and severity of pneumonic plague in Madagascar were assessed. Accounting for reporting delay, the reproduction number was estimated at 1.73. The case fatality risk was estimated as 5.5%. Expected numbers of exported cases from Madagascar were estimated across the world and all estimates were below 1 person from August to October, 2017.

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/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.46.17-00710
2017-11-16
2024-11-16
http://instance.metastore.ingenta.com/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.46.17-00710
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Dynamics of the pneumonic plague epidemic in Madagascar, August to October 2017
<p class="citation"> <span>Citation style for this article:</span> <span class="meta-value authors"> <a href="/search?value1=Shinya+Tsuzuki&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Tsuzuki Shinya</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Hyojung+Lee&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Lee Hyojung</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Fuminari+Miura&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Miura Fuminari</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Yat+Hin+Chan&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Chan Yat Hin</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Sung-mok+Jung&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Jung Sung-mok</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Andrei+R+Akhmetzhanov&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Akhmetzhanov Andrei R</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Hiroshi+Nishiura&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Nishiura Hiroshi</a></span>. Dynamics of the pneumonic plague epidemic in Madagascar, August to October 2017. <a href="/content/ecdc">Euro Surveill.</a> 2017;22(46):pii=17-00710. <a href="https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.46.17-00710" title="doi link" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2017.22.46.17-00710</a> <span class="ES_Article_citation"> <span class="generated">Received</span>: 23 Oct 2017;&nbsp;&nbsp; <span class="generated">Accepted</span>: 16 Nov 2017 </span> </p>
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