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Abstract

Several Italian towns are under lockdown to contain the COVID-19 outbreak. The level of transmission reduction required for physical distancing interventions to mitigate the epidemic is a crucial question. We show that very high adherence to community quarantine (total stay-home policy) and a small household size is necessary for curbing the outbreak in a locked-down town. The larger the household size and amount of time in the public, the longer the lockdown period needed.

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/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.13.2000280
2020-04-02
2024-11-21
http://instance.metastore.ingenta.com/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.13.2000280
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Only strict quarantine measures can curb the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Italy, 2020
<p class="citation"> <span>Citation style for this article:</span> <span class="meta-value authors"> <a href="/search?value1=Henrik+Sj%C3%B6din&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Sjödin Henrik</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Annelies+Wilder-Smith&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Wilder-Smith Annelies</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Sarah+Osman&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Osman Sarah</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Zia+Farooq&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Farooq Zia</a>, <a href="/search?value1=Joacim+Rockl%C3%B6v&option1=author&noRedirect=true" class="nonDisambigAuthorLink">Rocklöv Joacim</a></span>. Only strict quarantine measures can curb the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) outbreak in Italy, 2020. <a href="/content/ecdc">Euro Surveill.</a> 2020;25(13):pii=2000280. <a href="https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.13.2000280" title="doi link" target="_blank">https://doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.13.2000280</a> <span class="ES_Article_citation"> <span class="generated">Received</span>: 10 Mar 2020;&nbsp;&nbsp; <span class="generated">Accepted</span>: 02 Apr 2020 </span> </p>
/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.13.2000280
/content/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.13.2000280
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